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All the stuff about procedure, i want to sort of center things a little bit. the problem for president joe biden and democrats here is pretty clear. with the narrows possibly majority in the senate, they need all 50 democratic senate doctors to agree. again unanimously on legislation. and to democrats have emerged in the face of opposition in the party s agenda, there is west virginia joe manchin and arizona sinema. say what you will about senator manchin but he represents the state dold trump won by nearly 40 points in 2020. and he also has explicitly articulated the basis of his opposition to the current biden adjust the prosal. he thinks 3.5 trillion dollar price tag, again over ten years and that s just the spending side, not the tech side, he thinks that s too high. he wants more means testing, ....
Pump people full of age, and then take their money. i will never forget of. visiting my beloved grandfather who was a starter republican, broad conservative his whole life, and on his kitchen counter they would be a stack of mail about how bill clinton was turning the country into a margin hell, and you had to write a check to stop it. now the reason i bring all is up is because i m going to show you some recent funraising emails from the republin naonal committee, that is one half of the major party in this country. and these fundraising emails they, explain what has been a bit of a mystery. e mysterious this, why would a politicalmovement, in this case the conrvative movein th country, do so much to try and sicken and evenill off its own followers? we take a step back and loo the rit has ne and said aboutcovid. they a constantly pushing messages to the follers that contradict melt the coal and public health advisers. messages that have their own people seeking out quack cures and ref ....
Districts. so a big republican advantage, but not as because in 2011 when they had a 5 to 1 edge. there are ten states that have independent, or bipartisan commissions that total 121 districts. there are six states with split control, that totals 46 district, the courts may end up having to draw the maps. and then they re six lucky state that have won district, a have to we draw. the at large states places like south dakota, north dakota, wyoming, vermont, alaska. do a little barr trivia there. so there s really something interesting letter unified control, and this is something i ve learned from you, there s different approaches you can take, what is be super aggressive? try to maximize the number of seat your party gets control, but that is a little bit of ....
Intention with padding the margins with your current members for incumbent protection, am igetting that right? explain this tension to me? that s right, chri packing and cracking or the names of the game. you re trying to pack your opponent into us if you overwhelmingly red and blue districts possible and maximize your own seats. in texas, with all republicans come up with a map th gives them 25 of the states 28 seats, at least attempts to. that s not much more than they currently have. one constraint on republicans ability to gerrymander, is first of all they have to redraw a lot of the states last time, so they re already gerrymandered, and the suburbs have grown and trended blue that republicans have enorms work to do to shore up their own incumbents who represent demographic ticking time bombs, that if they weren t revamped they would fall to democrats within a few years. yeah, texas is interesting. ....
Constituents the numbers are in the nineties in terms of support for the build back better agenda. and so it is the president s agenda, and i m concerned about any senator, any democratic setor who would put on the line to poibly tank the presidents agenda. because that effectively takes democrats out of the running for the majority in the house, and in the senate. it s very problematic. yes the polling on sinema is fascinating. this new data is fascinating. you ve got a little bit of a test case, you hav sinema and kelly and they re both in the same state. they have similar overall numbers, but kelly is very ve approved by democrats, and very disapprove by republicans. sinema has much higher prove, although when you are in a race against a republican it s unclear how that s going to help you. and they both won their seats. so these are fferent approaches here. as someone who served with her in the house, do you have a ....