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And arizona, florida, new jersey and wisconsin have been advantage republicans. what do you make out of any of this? i think the most curious thing to me is the fact that florida is a defensive seat. almost all of the defenses, democrats have outspent the republicans but not rick scott. >> because rick scott has a ton of money to spend. i think what's interesting actually is the wisconsin. republicans, you know -- republicans think that they have a very good chance of winning wisconsin and so they're spending a lot of money there. >> with president hillary clinton, i think they do. that's the ...

People are most of those voters are saying, yeah, this might hurt me but i'm still going to stick with the president. this might have an impact on me. but those -- i think that those red state senators, those democrats who have a really strong personal brand, that's not joe donnelly, but that might be jon tester, right, they might make some inroads and say i can prove to you how this has been negative for you. i understand that you like the president, i'm going to work with him to mitigate the impact of these tariffs on your lives. >> it is a tough map. but when you look at some of our wins on...

The octopus on the dining room table. he's pervasive in every district. >> it's just that hard to ignore. >> it's still family thanksgiving. >> pretty interesting. >> let me put up -- you talked about the investigations. there's already been a list that republicans have come up with of likely investigations. it's pretty exhaustive, starting with the trump tax returns and trump family businesses to stuff in the administration, family separation issues, the epa issue, puerto rico. it could be just an investigation nightmare for the trump administration. >> yeah, absolutely. and these are the thi...

Life, in districts -- >> connor lamb ran at pro gun. >> sort of. >> he did. >> but connor lamb didn't have to go through a primary. no democrat will get through a primary who's shooting an ar-15 in his campaign ads. so the democratic party is different than 2006 and talking about open borders, taking away people's tax cuts, all of that will work very well against these candidates. >> what can the republican house do in september that would at all help their incumbents? is there something they can do? >> avoid a government shutdown. >> pass round two of taxes, make permanent. >> give them somet...

Foley who represented the 5th congressional district in washington in spokane. he lost that night and it was the symbolic loss of the night. there's some concern that cathy mcmorris rodgers is in that trap. >> there is concern about her. she doesn't seem to be as strong of a candidate as they would like her to be. and she's a member of leadership so that would be a huge loss. another race i want to pay attention to is claudia tenney in upstate new york. she's been trying to outtrump trump and aides working with her say it's going to be a very bad night for republicans if she loses that race, s...