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Gets them riled up. mask mandates, transgender students, what pronouns they should be called. it's not an education plan per se in the way you are thinking about it as an observer, voter, parent. how much money is he going to put into schools? it's not like that. it's a broad rallying cry to rally up the supporters that will be overwhelmingly determined by which side gets more people out. base election and an off, off year. >> that's not to say it's not an issue. there are parents who care about this stuff. i wanted to be clear that i wasn't missing something. i've covered races that were abou...

Digits in this race. the bottom line is that we all saw california recall election 18 years ago where around schwarzenegger. he was trying to appeal to democrats and republicans and independents. this is a primary campaign. this is running to your base. and jenner has a lot of competition on the base side. larry elder this talk show host has captured the imagination of republicans. and, again, in a base election in california at this point the democrats could easily wind. and that's what we think the trend of this race is right now. >> larry elder has gotten so much attention. and i just wonde...

Achieve it. >> joe manchin has said explicitly he will not support the for the people act. he laid down a marker and said he would not vote for a certain piece of legislation. >> spoiler alert. the federal government is not swooping in to solve these problems. they're happening in the state legislature. that's where they need to be solved. to solve it, you need to vote in the midterm elections, people. every midterm becomes a base election when you sit home, and that's how these extremist republicans keep getting elected? >> what about special elections? it turns out there was one yesterday. i...

Hyper partisan divided election cycle which 2020 will be, it is more of a turn out model than it is a persuasion model and it's counter into ti counter intuitive how you see poll situations behave. in reality what it insent vises them to do is to become more partisan, excite and turn out more people on their side than you see on the other side. and that is i think the election that the nrsc over on the senate side is preparing to run most of their senators in. it's that type of partisan tomorrow on our very last episode of "a.m. joy" for this cycle. not a consensus cycling. entire decade, ou...

>> what i would say is i agree we need to be very cautious about it but the divisive nature of what is happening in washington is making those independent voters in the middle sit it out meaning this will be a base election and impeachment is energizing both the base of democrats and republicans. shannon: turnout is everything, thank you for being with us tonight. we love tonight's hereafter 500 days, bonita has found a forever home, the pit bull was the longest resident of the shelter but after a year and a half is gone home with her new owner, sending her off with a big celebration, they wil...