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Not in the closing days. take a look here at our brand-new poll. in arizona, martha mcsally, 47%. that's a four-point lead within the margin of error and a tighter lead than two months ago in september when it was a seven-point lead. look now in nevada. and you'll see a similar story. you see jackie rosen there, 48%, dean heller, republican incumbent at 45%. that's been about where that race has been for two months. here's what's key. even though donald trump's numbers are improving from what they were in september, in both arizona and nevada, wolf, he is not welcome there, because they democr...

Year and a half. he believe he's gotten validation of success, he got into office this way, he believes he's maintain this rock solid level of support, so while other presidents may have taken this moment, called for relisheh the media. he loves that he's out there, blaming the media, and the media is criticizing him because that can program friendly media for him, double down his efforts with his supporters, and completely stay with that base strategy which he believes is going to help his party stem some losses this year, save the senate, perhaps. he is whole heartedly committed to this base...

Having to answer for him. this is a president who his mantra is punching back. he does it every single time, it used to be something we talked about in the campaign, it didn't change when he became president, he didn't decide to sit on -- something of a pedestal and say, i'm going to be the shining example here for the rest of the country. moral leadership and what not. he never did that. he never changed his strategy and his aides, because they work for him, they work in the building with him, they are like him in that way. they ascribe to the same mentality about it. i think many of them are...

Republican candidates parrot his talk on immigration. that's why we're so sure, all of us i think sitting here, this is really a base strategy to make sure the republican base voters republican newsed. but it's not necessarily what republicans who are trying to hang on to the house need in most of those battlefield districts about voters in the middle. >> at the same time, i would make the suggestion that it does help republicans in north dakota, in indiana, and missouri, and the battleground states where the senate is in play. >> it's so interesting to me the argument by the president that de...

>> david -- sorry, go ahead. >> one note on the immigration issue, though. i do think if you look at which republicans are sort of parroting the president out on the campaign trail, they're republicans in deep red states. you look at his numbers on immigration with independents. he's only at 38% approval on that issue with independents. only at 32% approval on that issue with women in our latest poll. and so you're not seeing the republicans who are really where the battle for the house is in the suburbs, in some of the bigger metropolitan areas, i don't think you're seeing those republican ca...