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In california, there's a half dozen races that are within the margin of error. i think that, you know, kavanaugh sent a spasm through the election season. but i think that the forces of gravity are pulling folks towards democrats in the same way that they were before. but if democrats don't show up, it will be 2016 all over again. it will be 2014, and the results will not be good. >> mm-hmm. i've been saying that all along. so caravan, kavanaugh, and cuts, chris. tax cuts. the whole tax cuts is a whole other show that we're going to get into because -- >> yeah, he's talking about another tax c...

>> congress is not in session. so, listen, this is what we're going to hear for -- this is the strategy. he's laying it out there, putting it right in your face. he's being boelds. the election of the caravan. we're going to hear that for the next two weeks, for the next 15 days. >> yeah, no question. look, this is a base strategy. midterm elections tend to be base wars because you see voter participation drop. voter participation not all that high in presidential elections dropped significantly in midterms. bill's right. look, if democrats believe they have it in the bag here and donald trump...

About. among women, i believe among independents, more than 60% of independent women who usually determine the outcome of elections, they are the largest group i think of swing voters. 63% favor democrats. 62% favor democrats. what does this white house worry about, if anything, with the president turning harsher rhetoric on women, people that he, you know, his own constituents, than he does for dictators and authoritarian leaders like mbs? >> well, there is, by the way, concern in the white house and frankly within the republican party about the polls showing this huge gender gap heading into...

Rochelle ritchie. the idea of preemptive impeachment, how much does this reveal about democrats? >> this is base politics. that's all this is. and i think nancy pelosi knows even to impeach president trump that there is not really a lot of mainstream american support for that. i think the impeachment of bill clinton, although it was 20 years ago at this point, is seared in the minds of many american voters. it was not a positive time for our country, and i don't think, you know, if the democrats want to repeat that, then you see their message going into november, impeach trump, impeach kavanau...

Approval. if it's at 36%, the president is basically a base plus none right now. his base strategy of communicating only to his base makes it harder for him to persuade independents and swing voters and people who are outside that hard base. and i think we're seeing that right now. and that's really bad news for the republicans heading into the midterm elections. they'd much rather be talking about an economy that's doing really well than talking about the president's tweets, than talking about the woodward and omarosa books, about the chaos in the white house or talking about a russia investi...