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February 21, 2021 As a rule, teams tend to be less aggressive, and take fewer chances, when behind in games. The logic is sound, but at the same time, is it really necessary? Is there not often something to gain by pushing the envelope and putting pressure on the opposing side, regardless of the score? I asked that question to Derek Shelton earlier this week. “I think it’s game-situational,” the Pirates manager replied. “The question I would [throw] back to you — this is rhetorical, of course — is ‘What’s the variation in terms of number of runs when you start to take chances,...

Daily baseball statistical analysis and commentary.

Daily baseball statistical analysis and commentary.

Daily baseball statistical analysis and commentary.

Alan You can flag a comment by clicking its flag icon. Website admin will know that you reported it. Admins may or may not choose to remove the comment or block the author. And please don't worry, your report will be anonymous. Big fan of (fellow?) poker-playing statistician fantasy sports writers! Quick question: Don’t fantasy players have to be a bit cautious about using z-scores as a shorthand for value across categories? Just for a hypothetical example, suppose 90 percent of draftable pitchers had a projected 4.00 ERA. A starter with a 3.80 ERA is just a little bit better, but might ha...