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2017 and october of 2018. the average democrat outperformed clinton by 12 per seine tanl points. what was going on here? this was the same margin that trump won the detective by. if that same trend that you saw all the way back in these special elections holds for what's going on in north carolina's 9ths district, we'll have a very tight race on our hands. >> what else can you tell me how it looks? >> another thing to keep in mind and why i think the republican is perhaps slightly favored, dems representing districts where trump won biggest. there are only four districts currently represented ...

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Carolina. north carolina. "new day" continues right now. all right. we want to welcome our viewers in the united states and all around the world. this is "new day" and we have breaking weather news because hurricane dorian is coming closer to landfall. it's now about 30 miles off the coast of north carolina. but coastal communities at this moment in the carolinas and virginia are already seeing that dangerous storm surge and life threatening flash flooding we've been warned about. the storm is now category 1. there are wind gusts of 90 miles per hour and more than 340,000 people are without ...

Contrasted it with this past august. and what did you find? >> let's be clear. it's not advanced math, okay? in fact, actually, it's the crazy calculus of schoolyard insults is really the big difference. you know, i was surprised actually. a lot of people in august looked at some of the president's extreme tweeting and thought, you know, is he declining in some measurable way? and i wasn't really sure. then i looked at august of 2017 a very memorable month. remember this was the month of fire and fury against north korea. this was the month of charlottesville and good people on both sides. yet...