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The probability is high for the S&P 500 in February 2022 to be below its February 2021 high. This quant-based conclusion is from my research findings on four clusters of BSAs (Bullish Sentiment Anomalies). Three of the BSA clusters were formed from 1999 to 2017. The fourth BSA cluster since 1999 was formed from 12/3/2020 to 2/18/2021. The discovery was the S&P 500 underperformed or declined for the 12-month periods which follow a cluster of BSAs. The table below depicts the periods in which a minimum of four BSAs occurred within an 11-week time frame. The BSA is an acronym for the Bullish Anomaly which was discovered in November 2020. ....
S&P 500 to decline by 11%. Call options which trade VIX, VXX and UVXY to increase by 1,000% to 10,000%. Shares of the VXX and UVXY which mimic the CBOE’s volatility index (VIX) to increase by 50% and 100% respectively. Additionally, the discovery of the anomaly has resulted in the development of the Bull Vix (BVX) algorithm and www.bullvix.com which is now operational. The Bull Vix’s mandate is to exclusively: Monitor for future BSA occurrences Utilize BBT algorithm’s short signals, which have powered Bull & Bear Tracker and Bear Trader alerts to trade long and short index ETFs since 2018, to send alerts to trade VIX related VXX and UVXY shares and call options for the VXX, UVXY and VIX index. Due to increases in volatility for the five weeks following BSA occurrences being highly probable the conditions for deploying call option strategies for returns of 1,000% to 10,000% within a few weeks are ideal. ....