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“Rob, earlier this week you posted some ‘units funded’ information from the MBA showing a dramatic decline from a few years ago. Dollar-wise, certainly we’re nowhere near the $4+ trillion funded in 2021. What are some of the other MBA thoughts about 2023 and beyond?” Wise economists will tell you, “If you’re going to put a number on it, don’t put a date on it, and if you’re going to put a date on it, don’t put a number on it.” That said, for total originations of 1-4 unit mortgages, the MBA expects 2022 to clock in at $2.2 trillion, 2023 at $1.8 trillion, and then move higher in 2024 to $2.3 trillion. The MBA also is predicting that mortgage debt outstanding (1-4 family) will be somewhat steady at $13.4-$13.8 trillion, especially given all those 30-year fixed rate mortgages at less than 3.5 percent, but for 30-year interest rates to drop to near 5.50 percent range by year end as the U.S. economy slows som ....

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