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Dealing with. we have 90 million americans that haven t been vaccinated. we have 130 million americans who were vaccine willing who went out and got two doses but didn t get this critical third dose yet and so right there, we have a lot of wood for this coronavirus forest fire to burn and we have to remember that. the second thing i think that is really em poor tar important in understanding where we re at in the pandemic is we don t know how much of the deaths we re seeing or how many of the deaths we re seeing are due to delta yet and how much are due to omicron and that s going to be a very important factor of going forward in terms of how many deaths occur with omicron to get to that number that the cdc estimated. maybe it will be lower. maybe it will be higher. and we just wait, doctor, on that point, i want to ask you on that point because i hear that a lot. i know in terms of our discussions about whether it s this variant or that, it s important to know what the impact is. ....
So we re seeing case rates, hospitalizations and deaths dropping, but we ve been here before. can we ever get past this as long as people refuse vaccines? well, there s really one very important number we must never forget. there are currently 65 million americans who are not vaccinated who could be right now based on recommendations. they are more than enough human wood for this coronavirus forest fire to keep burning. we will see new surges in the future just as we ve seen from the beginning of the pandemic, we see these big case increases that last anywhere from one to four months, and then it comes down just like we saw last june, when people thought we were out of the woods. we had vaccines and we had the case numbers dropping precipitously, and look what happened this summer. we will continue to see those kinds of surges around the country with them not yet vaccinated. that s why it s critical to get ....
We re seeing hospitals fill up, schools having to shut down days after opening. where are we right now and where are we headed? first of all we shouldn t have been surprised by this situation. i realize that there was a time where case numbers were very low and people assumed the pandemic had ended in the united states. we had vaccine coming. but let me just remind you that we have over 90 million americans today who are eligible to be vaccinated who have not. that s more than enough human wood out there for this coronavirus forest fire to burn. so this particular surge we re in right now really it s unknown how high it may get in terms of cases. i think right now, my best guesstimate is if we had to look at the southern sun belt states, two or three more weeks at least of increasing numbers. but i think the big challenge is are we going to see other areas of the country that are now beginning to light up. the southeast, georgia, south carolina, north carolina, kentucky, tennessee, s ....
Political analyst and director of the center for infectious disease research and policy at the university of minnesota. doctor, let me begin with you. i want to show you the cover of usa today for this weekend. it says we are failing one another. this is america s fourth covid-19 surge. it didn t have to happen. it didn t have to happen but what do we do about it now? doctor, how do we how do you see this playing out over the next weeks and months when we are fundamentally opposed between those who believe in masks and vaccines and those who not want to wear them? the most important message anyone can take from watching this spot is get vaccinated. there are over 90 million americans who could be vaccinated right now who are not. & these are people providing the human wood for this coronavirus ....