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BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Real Yield July 14, 2024 - Vimarsana News

BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Real Yield July 14, 2024

We start with a big issue, fears of recession and uncertainty surrounding trade, sparking a rush into safety. That leads to a u. S. Yield curve that inverted wednesday. As i recall, the First Time Since 2007. The recession is avoidable. Even when you see the yield curve invert. That does not necessarily mean we are going over a cliff into recession. It happens to be about 18 months earlier than you see recession. And this is about traditional signals of the yield curve. Talking about the curve in version. Inversion. 2 10 inversion. Recession goes right up. Markets always shortterm have a wall ...

BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Real Yield July 14, 2024 - Vimarsana News

BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Real Yield July 14, 2024

Whether you embrace or reject etfs, they are here to stay. The flows signal Broader Market trends. Lets check in with Eric Balchunas. A snapshot of the flows and the theme is risky assets like the stocks. Eric thank you, scarlet. Im feeling like a broken record. Every week, i am saying people are excited about the fed being accommodative. It felt like about two months. Another week of the same thing. 15 billion into etfs. We have spy, the cuse. You also have ibv and some vanguard funds. Both major player types are buying in. I thought, this seems to have started in the beginning of june when t...

BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Real Yield July 14, 2024 - Vimarsana News

BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Real Yield July 14, 2024

This creates enough uncertainty to where even the strong payrolls report that we got today is likely going to secure that cut. We are going to get a 50 basis points one way or the other. Mr. Trump now knows the buttons he has to press to get the outcomes that he wants. Good policy, bad policy, the white house is listening. That is why you are seeing the president be so aggressive right now. To the extent trump continues to push on the trade war and that hurts Economic Growth and creates these downside risk, presumably means that Central Banks will push more in terms of easier Monetary Policy. ...

BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Real Yield July 14, 2024 - Vimarsana News

BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Real Yield July 14, 2024

Issue, fears a big of recession and uncertainty surrounding trade sparking a rush into safety. That leads to a u. S. Yield curve that inverted wednesday. As i recall, the First Time Since 2007. The recession is avoidable. That does not necessarily mean we are going over a cliff into recession. It tends to be about 18 months earlier than you see recession. And this is about traditional signals of the yield curve. Inversion. 2 10 inversion. Markets always shortterm. Is an extreme way, seeking safe haven. Looking for safety. Treasury bonds is where you go. Tom terrific conversation through the we...

BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Real Yield July 14, 2024 - Vimarsana News

BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Real Yield July 14, 2024

Issue will dominate a thinking at the fed. You have to extrapolate this and you can about the fed delivering a series of cuts. Strong payrolls report that we cant today is likely going to secure that cut. We are going to get a 50 basis points one way or another. Mr. Trump now knows the funds he has to press to get the outcomes that he wants. That is why you are sitting president from so aggressive right now. To the extent trump continues to push on the trade war and that creates a downside risks, presumably means Central Banks will push more in terms of easier Monetary Policy. Jay powell has m...