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Back into the majority, a slight republican advantage with women voting in this election. this is polling done by dan greenberg for his organization, the democracy core. see how much among unmarried women, a key piece of the constituency president obama had a 40-plus-point win. democrats are worried because if you look now and ask the same constituency what about this november? democrats have an advantage, but not as big. that can matter in close races for the house and senate. stan also studies what he calls the emerging electorate, young voters, full of color, unmarried women. if you look at...

Police seven, plus eight, plus nine, democratic advantage, mitt romney winning with independents. i said earlier today, unless these polls are getting it all wrong, are they getting it all wrong? >> mathematically, we're seeing it. the samples are big amongst democrats. >> answer this question for me. how does mitt romney lose an election where he is beating the president by 12 points among independent voters? >> you have to assume an electorate that's more democratic than the midterm election was in some cases than four years ago which seems highly up likely. and so it's not answerable. you c...

There is still a likelihood among some to believe that there is a four or five-point democratic advantage. in some circumstances, some polls, as pat has said, upon close to eight or nine or 10 points. the bottom line is the gallup poll is correct, we are likely to see governor romney even or slightly ahead in the popular vote. that is why chicago is panicking. >> i would like to ask you about ohio. in the latest rasmussen poll, and now shows governor romney one point ahead in ohio. that is the first time we have seen that. okay, the first time we have seen not. >> very different from a week ag...