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The evening, we might know who is going to be in control of the next congress. specifically to the polling, to the national generic ballot, those are not good numbers for republicans. what i think might be encouraging to republicans is that this is not a national election. the states that are going to decide the fight for the senate are considerably more republican than nationally, and even the states that are going to decide the house are a little bit more republican than what those numbers are showing nationally. what i spend most of my day focused on is trying to look at state by state and ...

Following the pennsylvania 18th special election closely. why, do they have a bad candidate? why do you think there is the disparity? >> no. we've seen that even before -- we were in that district polling even before we picked a candidate, believe it or not. we're seeing that intensity across the state. and so the key for us is to get voters out. we're doing that with 1,000 veefr volunteers on the street, hitting the doors and phones, to let them know what's at stake. >> lamm took in $3.3 million while the republican took in about $700,000. why is he falling behind by the huge -- this chasm if...

Post's" dan balz. jeff, let me start with you. there seems to be a little bit of evidence in national polling, a lot more evidence in state by state and district by district polling that republicans don't have this healthy lead anymore in a lot of the swing districts or senate races, that the gap's closed. what's going on here? is it just sort of summer vacation, odd ball polling? or are democrats coming home, or is something else going on? >> i think quite frankly we don't know the answer to that question yet. we need a little more information as the summer goes along. but chuck, as you know,...

Growth slowed in the second quarter, expanding at a lower than expected 2.4%. consumer sentiment fell to the lowest level in two months. but chevron saw earnings triple last quarter boosted by improving margins at the refineries and giant merck beating expectations and delivering a forecast in line with predictions. that's it from cnbc first in business worldwide. now back to "hardball." welcome back to "hardball." are democrats really closing the gap in the midterm election? with us now "the new york times" jeff -- and the "washington post's" dan -- there seems to be a little evidence in na...