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Wolf in Sheep's Clothing: Soft GDP Hides Surging Spending

Real GDP grew at only a 1.6% annualized pace in Q1, held back by trade and inventories. Consumer spending in the service sector is not slowing, in fact, it is ramping up at a rate seldom seen in the past 20 years. That is problematic as core PCE prices are picking up again in defiance of higher rates. ....

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