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Why Weather Forecasts Are Only Accurate Two Weeks Out

As sophisticated as our climate models are, there are too many variables at play over time. ....

United States , Paul Ullrich , Falko Judt , Kerry Emanuel , National Center , Atmospheric Research , University Of California , He National Center For Atmospheric Research , Ensemble Forecasting , Kerry Emanuel , General Circulation Model , Butterfly Effect , Forecast Verification , Computational Science , Weather Forecasting , Paul Ullrich , Statistical Forecasting , Falko Judt ,

IMD to give month-wise rainfall forecast from coming monsoon season: DG

To better its monsoon forecast, the India Meteorological Department (IMD) will use the multi-model ensemble approach and also give a monthly outlook for the four months of the rainfall season, its director general said on Monday.
The IMD will also give a flood warning forecast to the Central Water Commission for five days, IMD DG Mrutunjay Mohapatra added.
It currently gives flood forecasts for three days.
Addressing a day-long seminar on Annual Monsoon E-Workshop and National E-symposium on Cloud Precipitation, Mohapatra admitted that the forecast for Southwest Monsoon, 2020 was not accurate.
The seminar was attended by senior scientists of the Ministry of Earth Sciences institutions and senior meteorologists of the IMD. ....

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