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AMHERST — University of Massachusetts researchers on the Amherst campus are being credited with the most accurate short-term projections of COVID-19 deaths in the United States, developing a tool that has been used by the U.S. Centers for Disease...
The University of Massachusetts Amherst-based U.S. COVID-19 Forecast Hub, a collaborative research consortium, has generated the most consistently accurate predictions of pandemic deaths at the state and national level, according to a paper published April 8 in the Proceedings of the National Academies of Sciences.
Estee Cramer AMHERST, Mass. – An ensemble forecast representing multiple models has generated the most consistent predictions of COVID-19 deaths, according to preliminary research by biostatisticians and epidemiologists at the University of Massachusetts Amherst. Led by Nicholas Reich, director of the UMass Amherst-based COVID-19 Forecast Hub and the Influenza Forecasting Center of Excellence, the team evaluated about 200,000 forecasts of pandemic deaths from around 25 global teams of infectious-disease forecasters. Their initial findings are available on medRxiv, the health sciences prep...