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The poll found support for Scottish independence is split, with 50% saying they would vote No if a referendum were held tomorrow, 42% Yes and the remaining 8% said they do not know. When those who are undecided are excluded, support for the union is at 54% and backing for independence at 46%. The poll projects the Scottish Conservatives will return 30 MSPs, one down on 2016, with 25% of the constituency vote and 23% of the list vote. Scottish Labour is predicted to return 26 MSPs, two more than five years ago, with 22% of the constituency and 19% of the list vote. According to the poll, the Scottish Lib Dems will secure 8% of the constituency and 6% of the list vote which would see them return five MSPs, no change on 2016. ....
ALBA have projected their logo onto historic Scottish sites with less than 24 hours to go until polls open. It comes after Alex Salmond’s party projected the Alba logo onto the BBC Scotland building at Pacific Quay in Glasgow, ahead of a leaders’ debate they were not invited to participate in. Last night Alba released images of their logo showing on Edinburgh Castle, Stirling Castle and Dundee’s Caird Hall. Different polling companies have predicted varying levels of support for the party, which hopes to secure an independence “supermajority” by only fielding last candidates. Panelbase has consistently put support at about 6%, which would give the party a handful of MSPs, while others have been between 2-3%. ....
Scotland on a knife edge: Nicola Sturgeon s hopes of a Holyrood majority are slipping away as election eve poll finds SNP faces LOSING seats and a majority of Scots want to stay in the UK – but other surveys say she could get MORE MSPs Savanta poll suggests SNP could lose four seats to fall six seats short of control The same firm also found a 54-46 majority of support for remaining in the Union But YouGov and Survation polls both have an outright SNP majority at Holyrood ....
SNP could lose out on majority, poll predicts Updated: May 5, 2021, 9:16 am A new poll predicts the SNP could lose out on a majority (Jane Barlow/PA) The SNP could miss out on a majority by six seats in the Holyrood election, a new poll has suggested. The survey, conducted by Savanta ComRes for The Scotsman, projects the SNP will secure 42% of the constituency vote and 34% of the list vote. This would see it return 59 MSPs, four below the 2016 result, with 65 needed for a majority. However, there would still be a pro-independence majority in the Scottish Parliament as the Scottish Greens are projected to return nine MSPs, three more than in 2016, with 9% of the list vote. ....
The worst polling for the SNP since October 2019 reveals the party could miss out on a majority by six seats in the Holyrood election. The new poll, conducted by Savanta ComRes for The Scotsman, projects the SNP will secure 42% of the constituency vote and 34% of the list vote. This would see it return 59 MSPs - four below the 2016 result. A total of 65 is needed for a majority. The poll included a survey of 1,001 Scottish adults aged 18 or over which was carried out between April 30 and May 4. However, the poll shows there would still be a pro-independence majority in the Scottish Parliament, since the Scottish Greens are projected to return nine MSPs with 9% of the list vote. ....