Rate cuts coming up: European Central Bank and Bank of England in June, Fed in September
Central bank rate cuts forecast via Capital Economics
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Central bank rate cuts forecast via Capital Economics
USD momentum for now doesn’t look that convincing. A break below the 1.045 short‐term low apparently isn’t that easy. Later this week the focus is on the Minutes of the Fed September meeting (Wednesday) and the US CPI release (Thursday; 0.3% M/M expected both for core and headline). Also keep an eye at the US Treasury selling 3‐,10‐ & 30‐y bonds as US yields are holding close to the cycle peak levels.
The gains in gasoline prices place the nation's central bank on alert for a resumption of inflation, making the September interest rate hike a hawkish rather than a dovish pause.
In the US, ADP private job growth slowed lightly more than expected to 177k. Last month’s impressive 324k growth was revised even higher to 371k, suggesting a still healthy US job market this summer.
Comments from the Chicago Fed President