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Eurodollar contract spreads and the US Treasury yield curve are offering their strongest hints thus far that a more hawkish Fed is about to arrive.
Fed speakers sound hawkish, and rates markets have rapidly adjusted to the reality of a taper announcement in November.
Markets are expecting a hawkish FOMC when the September Fed meeting concludes on Wednesday.
After a strong July US nonfarm payrolls report and more hot inflation readings, Fed rate hike odds are creeping higher ahead of the August gathering in Jackson Hole.
The June FOMC meeting is under two weeks away, and it’s becoming evident that policymakers are beginning to lay the foundation for initial QE tapering efforts.