Page 7 - First Midterm News Today : Breaking News, Live Updates & Top Stories | Vimarsana

Little bit more of two weeks between now and election day. the question is, have they open up a lead for good here? couldn't get wider? or are we in for another change in these final days, these final weeks of the campaign, could democrats tighten that still once more, as they did over the summer? certainly, a significant week in terms of the movement that we have seen here. also, i think notably, putting this into context, these are the most recent wave elections we've seen in the terms, where the opposition party, the party that does not at the white house and done really well in the midterm...

The same point in these recent wave elections, where you can see, this republican number is not where it was in 2010, when republicans had that huge mid term and won 63 seats in the house. breakable most recent term, it's not where it was for democrats four years ago, when democrats had that blue wave, took back the house and trump's first midterm. but that 3. 1 lead, it's pretty comparable to where things were at this point in 2020 -- that was barack obama's second term as president, know it's a late building, late forming wave. it took a lot of people by surprise, really up until election da...

Midterm this crucial, we would expect to see, at least traditionally, the president holding big campaign rallies, but the white house has obviously taken a much more toned down approach, still focusing on biden's ability to raise lots of money for the democrats. so more private events. and an analysis from "the new york times" shows obama had, i think, 16 rallies in october before his first midterm. trump had 26 and you see there biden with a big fat zero for the month of october. does this hurts or help democrats in the midterms? >> good morning, amara. you could put another line of numbers o...

Too. let's talk about how they're going to affect the midterms. >> as you were pointing out, compared to other presidents at this point, first midterm, 43%. that looks a lot like a 43% here. looks close to obama 45. looks like to clinton 45. bush was the outlier at 62%. if this 43% looks like the trump 43%, the opposition party that particular year, the democrats gained 40 seats. i don't think we're necessarily looking at that, but the opposition party has gained anywhere from 40 seats to 63 seats. this tells a little bit of a different story than the congressional generic ballot. >> we will h...

Actually change. that is the kick out question for democrats. democrats, believe in a year, the wind is in their face. it's a democratic president, first midterm, history says the president's party suffers. the democrats are looking for something to help them turn out voters and to peel back the suburban republicans who voted against donald trump, to peel back independents who might say i don't like inflation, i don't think biden has delivered, democrats believe the abortion issue could be a turnout mechanism and a vote changing mechanism. kansas is part of that test, don. >> john, stay with u...