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Dollar Bullish Outlook Will Need to Shift from Rates to Volatility to Continue

There is potential for interest rate expectations to climb even further, but the Dollar is in the early stages of a recovery; so a more potent charge may be necessary – like ‘fear’ ....

United States , John Kicklighter , Fundamental Forecast Talking Points , Fed Funds , August Fed Funds , Index Overlaid , Implied Fed Funds Rate , Day Correl , Event Risk Next ,

Dollar Ends Busy Week with Rate Boost, Could Its Safe Haven Appeal Kick In?

With EURUSD and USDJPY tentatively stepping into trend reversals, the Dollar’s ‘safe haven’ role is the most potent catalyst to watch going forward ....

United States , John Kicklighter , University Of Michigan , Fundamental Forecast Talking Points , Day Historical Range , Fed Funds , Chairman Powell , Index Overlaid , Day Rate , Day Differential Index , Global Macro Event Risk Next ,

Dollar is Volatility Bound with FOMC, NFPs and Earnings…But Is There a Trend?

Given the extremely tight range and top event risk like the FOMC, ISM data, NFPs and more ahead, a technical break is likely ....

John Kicklighter , Fundamental Forecast Talking Points , Day Historical Range , World Economic , Global Macro Event Risk Next , Fed Fund , Index Overlaid , Day Differential Index ,

Dollar Searches for Break from Range with EURUSD and USDJPY Prime Candidates

With key event risk over the coming week including 4Q US GDP, the January US PMIs and Fed’s favorite inflation indicator (PCE deflator); perhaps we can find purchase ....

John Kicklighter , Federal Reserve , Fundamental Forecast Talking Points , Day Historical Range , Fed Funds , Index Overlaid , Global Macro Event Risk Next , Day Differential Index ,

Dollar Pushes 7-Month Lows but Dive in Rate Forecast Cooling, VIX Connection Important

With the market’s own Fed Fund futures holding level and the VIX already pushing 12-month lows, the risk is more acute for a bullish fundamental charge for the Greenback ....

Martin Luther King Jr , John Kicklighter , Federal Reserve , Fundamental Forecast Talking Points , Fed Fund , Fed Funds Implied Rate , Year Yield Spread , Index Overlaid , Global Macro Event Risk Next ,