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Yves here. While the general thesis, that opposed interests, rising hostility, lack of negotiating inclination/skills, mutual misunderstanding, and aggressive gestures being believed to be popular at home could too easily lead to an otherwise not intended war, is sensible, I’m not sure I agree with Klare’s take on Taiwan. He acknowledges that “Both sides recognize that such contradictory impulses are only likely to be resolved through armed conflict” yet argues that neither side wants war but that it might come about by mishap. That’s not the report I get from individuals in countri...

NationofChange Could the U.S. and China face an unintended blowup in the Western Pacific in the Biden years? The leaders of China and the United States certainly don’t seek a war with each other. Both the Biden administration and the regime of Chinese President Xi Jinping view economic renewal and growth as their principal objectives. Both are aware that any conflict arising between them, even if restricted to Asia and conducted with non-nuclear weapons — no sure bet — would produce catastrophic regional damage and potentially bring the global economy to its knees. So, neith...