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RBI MPC: India s policymakers see a Goldilocks scenario with a 4.5% inflation and 7% growth forecast for FY25, suggesting a balanced economy. The Reserve Bank of India s Monetary Policy Committee agrees on the need for caution amid uncertainties. While optimistic about growth, economists urge vigilance due to global headwinds. Nomura expects a cumulative 100 bps rate cut, while others predict a pause until H1FY25. ....
India s policymakers see a Goldilocks scenario with a 4.5% inflation and 7% growth forecast for FY25, suggesting a balanced economy. The Reserve Bank of India s Monetary Policy Committee agrees on the need for caution amid uncertainties. While optimistic about growth, economists urge vigilance due to global headwinds. Nomura expects a cumulative 100 bps rate cut, while others predict a pause until H1FY25. ....
Contrary to expectations, the RBI policy did not allow for a rate cut or explicit liquidity measures. The Governor presented a Goldilocks scenario, assuring the bond market of government spending and comfortable liquidity. However, the growth and inflation combination does not leave room for a rate cut in the near future. ....
The benchmark index's stellar run won't end here, according to the Swiss bank, with a "Goldilocks" economic outcome still on the table for the US. ....
"For us it's not the growth side of things that is wrong, it's the rate side that has gone a little bit too far too fast, a little bit exuberant." ....