What are the chances of another surge?
Extra public health restrictions, including curfews and school closures, are being imposed in France, Germany, Italy and in several other EU countries in response to a new surge in infections. Restrictions are being eased in the UK as new cases fall, the pay-off for a rapid vaccination rollout. Ireland has thus far avoided the big surge in cases seen elsewhere in the EU, but relaxations were announced last Tuesday with vaccination still well behind the UK and despite indications that cases are beginning to rise again. The chart shows the recent pattern of new cases in Ireland and in two cou...