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Presently, La Nina advisory is in vogue. Both, atmosphere and environmental conditions are commensurate with persisting La Nina and pointing to further strengthening during the fall of year and winter 2022.

All the 3 oceanic parameters: La Nina, IOD and MJO appear to be resonating and are likely to be in tandem during 1st half of November. While the monsoon rains over South Peninsula are likely to be adequate but the possibility of any cyclone is nearly ruled out in the next 2 weeks.

Oceanic parameters are joining together to bring an active start of the Northeast Monsoon over Tamil Nadu to start with. Also, La Nina and +ve SOI (Southern Oscillation Index) is considered favourable for northeast monsoon activity during the 2nd half of the season.

Northeast Monsoon is influenced by global climate parameters like ENSO, IOD and MJO. La Nina and +ve Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) during the 2nd half of the season is considered favorable for good northeast monsoon activity.

अगस्त के पहले भाग के दौरान मॉनसून का कमजोर चरण जल्द ही देश के अधिकांश हिस्सों में दुसरे भाग के दौरान मॉनसून का सक्रिय रूप प्रस्तुत करेगा। The weak phase of the monsoon during the 1st half of August will soon make way for an active run over most parts of the country during the latter half.