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February 4, 2021 You know it’s almost time for baseball season when all of the major projection systems forecast Kyle Hendricks‘ ERA one run per nine innings too high. As much as this sounds like a knock on those who develop projections, it’s not. What Jared Cross (Steamer), Dan Szymborski (ZiPS), Derek Carty (THE BAT), and the folks at Baseball Prospectus (PECOTA) do is no small feat. If I weren’t too cowardly to even try to create my own projection system, I would be too stupid to design one that is half as effective as theirs. Glass houses and all that.

Will the Diamondbacks Have a Power Hitter Next Season? Share this story Photo by Christian Petersen/Getty Images Although trades and free agent acquisitions could change the answer, the keys to finding an answer are: Define ‘power hitter.’ For this article, the key measure is homers per plate appearance. Nevertheless, two other measures could help define a ‘power hitter:’ barrel %, and hard hit %. These measures can be found at Baseball Savant. Project how well the Diamondbacks will bat. Good projection systems reflect player skills and are understandable. Although there are many pr...

a- 2. An emerging orthodoxy holds that race is a social construct and thus a poor proxy for genetic diversity. This view holds that since genetic differences between racial groups are trivial, research on genetic contributions to racial disparities will be fruitless.— Ron Noble (@RonNoble7) October 28, 2020 These tweets document how 21st Century genetic tests can predict what race people will self-identify as belonging to with 95%-99% accuracy. 15. Given that the vast majority of human traits, including health and disease related traits, are influenced by multiple loci, these findings have...