NHL advanced stats mailbag: Which teams are, or aren't, ahead of the curve when it comes to analytics?
Our readers generously flooded us with questions, and we whittled the list down to 15 of the best ones.
Source: theathletic.com
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Analytics with Alison: Inside Expected Goal Models
Expected goals. It's a term we throw around all the time that is meant to be proxy for "shot quality" or, more explicitly, a description of how likely any shot is going to become a goal and thus how many goals a team was "expected" to score. At its core, any expected goals measure is simply a probability measure of a puck getting into the net, and that is a better predictor of goal scoring (and thus game winning!) than looking at just overall shot volume (or count).
Source: nhl.com
When Value Metrics Disagree: The Murray-Severson Paradox and Assessing the Devils Defenders
When Value Metrics Disagree: The Murray-Severson Paradox and Assessing the Devils Defenders Share this story Has Ryan Murray been good this season? It’s okay, take your time to answer. I had no idea when I started writing this piece, which is why I asked Twitter. To my eye, he started the season rough, getting exposed on the top pairing with Subban and the first penalty-killing unit. Lately, I haven’t really noticed him. For a defensive defenceman like Murray, that’s normally good news. Has Damon Severson been good this season? I feel like this answer was a bit easier for me. The short...
Source: allaboutthejersey.com