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Karen mcginnis in atlanta. let s take you back to miami, florida now where isa soares is keeping an eye on things. isa. reporter: thank you very much michael. just listening to what karen said there, 10, 15 feet of the surge is so hard to imagine, to visualize that. but karen putting it all into perspective from us. what we just heard from karen there s a shift going from event northwest and the city of naples is along that route and that s where we find ed. ed, give us a sense of what is happening where you are, in particular on the weather front. reporter: well, you know it s interesting we haven t experienced much of a hurricane irma just yet. the winds very manageable, slight drizzles if you will, nothing terribly dramatic as of yet. clearly that is going to change and will change in the overnight early morning hours where you ll ....
that s right, don. earlier we spoke with the mayor of fort lauderdale. the main concern he had was that storm surgery. we re just 25 miles to the north of miami. we were expecting the same storm surge here around five to ten feet. as you heard from karen there, irma is now taking a path and is going way off to the left which could spare fort lauderdale to some extent. they re expecting this storm surge to drap to around one to tee. they re expecting these winds that are now picking up to drop from a category 4 to a category 1, dropping around 50 or 60 miles an hour. now, of course, as every forecaster you ve been speaking with could caution, this could change dramatically, but for nour they will feel less of an effect than was previously expected. this is no time for celebration. even if it is a lighter effect here, that means there are more towns and cities else why in florida who are going to feel ....
United states. so it s quite incredible to see just how ferocious this storm has already been and will continue to be as we go forward. of course, we continue to talk than slight shift to the west. and that is so critical in terms of a meteorologist forecasting where the strongest winds will be. being a meteorologist myself, we look at all these different ensembles pieces. karen was talking about that earlier. some of them showing slight eastward track, some of them showing a westward track. but now they re starting to come together, really cluster over the western side of the florida peninsula. so that means anywhere from key largo in to the florida keys to naples as well as the clearwater region. if you have evacuated, thank goodness you did. because it was that narrow cone of uncertainty that really kept you in the game. and now it looks as if you heeded the warning, and that was a good call. so let s talk about the conditions. derek, where you are. have you seen it this bad, or i ....
Increases by 20% or 30% more. so a lot of people who think they re high up and they re escaping a lot of things, they re actually still in a lot of danger because there s less friction the higher you go. when you re down around the ground, a lot more friction. so the higher you go, the higher those winds are expected. there s just a lot of dynamics here. can i ask you another question is this. sure. so you mentioned the storm surge. on top of that, karen, don t you have waves too, wave height on top of that 20 to 25 possibly feet waves? yes, we do. for the tides down here, we haven t really been talking about the time of high tide and when there s landfall, because the difference between high and low tide here is not huge. it s not like if you went to canada where it could be 10 or 12 feet. it s enormous. here it s very little. but you do get these waves, because there is jostling. ....