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Meanwhile a study by Imperial College London found that infections were roughly flat between January 6-15 and may have started to rise towards the end of the period. Researchers estimated the R – the rate at which infected people infect others – was 1.04 and that around one in 60 people in England were infected, based on swab testing of more than 140,000 individuals. Steven Riley, a professor of infectious disease dynamics at Imperial, said: There s no evidence that prevalence is decreasing at present, even 10 days into lockdown. And study director Professor Paul Elliott, the chairman in epidemiology and public health medicine at Imperial, said: What we would be hoping for during the lockdown is that we can see a downturn in the prevalence rate, a reduction in R. ....