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Job trump was doing up from 45% in march. on the economy, a whopping 59% approve. here now the man who led that survey. mark penn and the dnc communication as director. louise. mark, we're going to get to exclusive findings from you in moment. how significant is itt that thee new numbers have trump higher as he is about to kick off his reelection bid on june 19th in florida? >> these are better numbers. every point he wins here, if you are 45 you are not getting reelected. at 45 where he's been for a while, right on the edge. at 50 he would probably get elected. every point is critical. it wil...

I hope we make our tax code simpler and fairer for everybody across the board and that includes people who earn money in this country. >> bill, given that the gop only needs 50 plus one to pass this bill, do you envision enough republicans opposing this to stop it just like the health care effort? do you think this bill can pass as is in the house or senate? >> well, they'll get through the house, first of all we're not sure about the senate. they haven't yet figured out how they can do this through reconciliation, so i'd say slow down there. it could need 60 votes which they'll never get. i'm...

Seats are on the ballot this tuesday coming. michael bron is a senior political analyst for the washington examiner and he has a long history in following all these races very closely. we are glad to have him with us, he's a fox news contributor. good morning, michael, welcome. >> good to be with you, martha. martha: tell us how you're looking at the senate races and we'll go through a couple of them one by one. >> the senate races, you know there is a lot up for grabs. it looked early in the cycle like the republicans were going to make gains and width he will that 53 majority that the democr...

But why in the past few weeks you have started seeing in ohio and michigan and wisconsin, the president starting to drift up a little bit towards that magic 50% number that should cause the romney folks some fear if that keeps going on. it's clearly will be it is about the economy and scott is right. there are a lot of jobs and other things that will come out between the elect that could snap this thing right back into a situation where bad economic news gives romney a boost. but right now the obama campaign has done a pretty good job of keeping them off balance and that's one of the reasons y...

Ben, thanks for being with us. talk about where the campaign stands heading into the memorial day weekend. head to head numbers virtually tied. the president not really not being able to break through that 48% ceiling that i've been talking about with chuck todd for a couple of days in our nbc/wall street journal poll and all of the polls basically. is that a ceiling? will you have trouble getting through to that magic 50% number? >> i don't think it's a ceiling. we always anticipated this would be a close and competitive election given the historic challenges facing the nation when the presid...