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There's barely elbow room left in the year's dominant investment shelters, begging the question what any further setback for the world economy from here would mean at this stage. ... | September 14, 2022
Terminal inflation rates more than terminal interest rates may be a better guide to how world currencies surf the post-pandemic world and war-driven commodities shock. As major central banks prepare to normalise super-loose monetary policies and near zero interest rates in the face of surging oil and food costs – driven by economies re-opening and ...
The new year is proving unkind to the global investor consensus yet again and low visibility now becomes a major problem. As simmering Russia-Ukraine tensions boiled over this week, big bets on emerging market and euro zone stocks look to be going the same way as 2022’s other hot tip – the overwhelmingly bullish U.S. ...
If central banks start draining the money pool to stop an overspill buoying sky-high inflation, the assessment of just how much liquidity is ‘excess’ becomes critical to world markets. A hawkish new year blitz from the U.S. Federal Reserve in the face of 7% inflation and near full employment readings stateside has markets scrambling to ...
For all the noise about the Fed’s hawkish twist this week, the Bank of England stole the show to became the first G7 central bank into the great post-pandemic interest rate rise experiment. The problem is that no one’s sure how it will pan out – not least because the pandemic is far from over ...