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Doomed. they could make mistakes and advance the same policies and rerun the '08 and '04 elections over again and not a good time for them. >> nate, what is romney's best path to victory in 13 days? >> i think it's starts by winning north carolina and florida. and then he's got to win virginia and colorado and then he's got to go over the top in ohio but the polls suggest he trails bay narrow margin in ohio and nevada and colorado coin flips for him. he has to make the move in ohio and got to be quick. >> nate, as you pointed out this week, i encourage people to read it, there's sort of a grav...

Ready to vote and driving up the republican tally further. >> okay, nate. i disagree with thesis. i talked to cornell belcher. jim mecino also disagrees. this is from an article of obama saying he doesn't give a whit about national polling in which obama's numbers are dragged down by horrific per forms in the deep south and talking about battleground states and what belcher talked about with me is, obviously, you know, the south is obama's worst region and abc poll has him up and down 16 in the south and what we're talking about is that obama's really bad, horrific polling in the south is thos...

None of this actually happens january 1st. he has plenty of -- he has enough leeway as president to get around this. >> he has the upper hand because no action is required for all of the tax cuts to expire. next, breaking news here. steve may have miscalculated something. i know. i know. we're shocked, too. we'll get to the bottom of it with our numbers guy in the nate spot. time for the "your business" entrepreneur of the week. seth works fairs, haunted houses and nightclubs. he hawks from the bone shoppe cart with bones and skulls and other items. he hooks and engages and sells through p...

Race with the first debate the largest shift. i'll let jon stewart introduce the next expert. >> i think we all know what we need. nerds! >> so when you see obama gaining in today's gallup tracking poll, that means that obama's interviews yesterday better than seven days conducted before did debate. >> he went from three ahead in their seven-day track yesterday to five ahead in their track today. >> so that nerd is -- >> nerds. >> in quotes there. nate cohn in the nate spot today. i want to say, first of all, it probably could have been worse for both of us on "the jon stewart" and i think he ...

Wrapped around the glasses. >> i know that move. i've done that move. >> three guys just like him coming off the plane. you're the baetd ls in 1960. >> that's a lot better. nate, there was a debate last night and i want to ask you about it. obama had a much better performance than he did the first time. the ins the a polls had him losing to romney 40 points. last night, ahead six, seven points depending on the poll you look at. does this move the needle at all? >> i think it could but not the predebate average so after the first presidential debate, romney did great and got back the people tha...