What comes next in Afghanistan: A view from Pakistan
Afghanistan’s immediate post-war future looks bleak. The economy is collapsing, and the financial system is bankrupt. The country is faced with a humanitarian crisis that threatens to release a massive Afghan refugee surge. International relief assistance may become available but seems likely to be too late and inadequate to meet the country’s needs. Afghanistan’s new rulers also appear ill prepared to assume the task of governing a diverse society. How they will govern, whether with the rigidities and harshness of the past or with some measure of liberality, remains uncertain.