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Generally, oil stocks are correlated with the price of oil which makes perfect sense because oil producers sell the commodity. Plus, oil services companies raise prices when oil goes up and are forced to take concessions when they fall. That being said, owning oil stocks can be better than buying the commodity since you the benefit from capital returns. Furthermore, just because these firms produce and service commodities doesn’t mean individual ones don’t have certain competitive advantages. It is optimal to layer on company specific research with macro work. You can potentially make mon...

As of April 2021, the M1 supply has gone from $4.5T to $18.1, a rise of 450%. Such data represents a pretty bad report card for the Fed’s failed monetary experiment of unlimited #QE. The Fed’s solution to the problem? Hide it. pic.twitter.com/m3fAjV1Ci4 Consequences? Here you got the consequences. It means defaults won't come from debt defaults, but from lack of ability to sell anything due to lack of staff or the need to pay 300% more forcing demand for some goods to drop same as revenues. t.co/4ZK0cSGYcEpic.twitter.com/KSgIQzYPOU 505 views

This is the first truly terrible jobless claims report since the slowdown started. There will be even more job losses in January than in December, but investors will probably ignore this as the vaccines are set to stop the virus’ spread in the next few months (14.3 million vaccines have gone out in the US). The main questions are how deep this slowdown gets and when it ends. We could easily see sharp job creation starting as early as March or April. Specifically, in the week ending January 9th, seasonally adjusted initial claims spiked from 784,000 to 965,000 which was way above estimates f...