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All of the county. in 2016, president trump, donald j. trump, beat hillary clinton by 21 points. four years earlier in 2012, barack obama beat mitt romney by 12 points. so this is one of the places that joe biden is going to make his case, trying to get back some of those disaffected democrats into the fold. but again, before any of this can begin, he needs to convince some of those other democrats who are looking for new generation or new type of democratic candidate that he's the best prepared candidate to beat president trump. >> this really is a fascinating day. you're right in the middle ...

Financial crisis since the great depression. >> the meager jobs numbers could help biden's case if he says, because of the tariff threat, et cetera, things are accelerating. >> look what we're seeing replicate. going back to his own father, which he talked about before, inheriting $200 million, which he squandered, and now doing the same thing with the economy, which our administration handed him. >> his kick-off point is directed at farmers in particular, saying america's farmers are being hurt by the trade war and tariffs. there's a case he can really make in that. look where he is giving th...

Congressional districts that he had won, that are evidence of his core support from 2016 that are slipping away. >> just to put some apples to apples on it to really define the wave we're dealing with in '18 because the senate seats its own map, 8% is the gap that democrats had over republicans in terms of total votes, that's well over the 2010 wave, the tea party wave for republicans, for example. despite the fact that republicans won over 60 seats in that election. so that's really an indication of the surge you're seeing and a lot of it came in these pivot counties and pivot districts that ...

Trump tide. across the board this year's mid-term elections saw the best turnout in decades, so much the democratic governor wolf got more votes than donald trump did the year before. democrats are still fighting an uphill battle to reclaim the counties obama won and trump swung in 2016. they are making gains and counties outside the base, and these pivot counties will be among the most crucial counties going forward. democrats running for the house carried urban areas by a greater margin than they did in 2016. republicans running for the house carried the suburbs handily. one more thing, pres...

In the last three midterms. 2014, 2016. that is the number of pivot counties that won in 2016 that obama won twice before. that is the real battleground map. notice the cluster in the midwest. iowa, wisconsin and michigan. democrats are making strong runs for governor in each state that voted for trump. it is annoying to say it all comes down to turnout, it is a cliche and it is true. 40% is the average turnout for eligible voters in the last three midterms. including 2006 and 2010. 2014 midterms election fell to 40%. that is a 40-year low. america, we should be able to do better than 4 in 10 ...