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And we can take them at their word. we can use other information. there is certainly internal polls and campaign polls that are different than some of the national public polls, that look at turnout scores and turnout modelling. but that's based on past voter propensity. you talk these estimates into account and look at the different range of turnout scenarios to see what the range of outcomes will look like. but -- and then we have now early voting which in some states is starting to look democratic, and some states it's actually a little more republican. is that a signer where things end up?...

>> you think him responding to you by moving to the right has actually made him more competitive now? >> if president trump is more well liked in nevada from what you've seen in the polls and most of the other states, all the other states beside the real red states. he lost the state by 2%. romney lost by 7, mccain 12. he actually overperformed in this state. he has a plus 2 approval rating in my district. furthermore, if you don't support president trump's poll, is you're not going to get the trump supporters to vote for you. >> i would say the number one issue generically in every house race...

In the polls. the question which would be more helpful to republicans, to win or lose in the senate? i begin to think winning is the best thing. had they lost that might have disspirited the base. you see in the fight over kavanaugh according to the polls, a real rise in enthusiasm. a big gap in intensity between democrats who seem very interested in the mid-terms and republicans that did not seem so energized. a lot of feeling among the republican conservative base that kavanaugh has not been dealt with fairly. in a lot of polls when you used to see a gap of 10 or 12 points is now plus 2 for ...

Kavanaugh. look at the energy and polls, something very big is happening. is i a fine man and great intellect. the country is whim all the way. steve: we were talking to chris wilson polster from oklahoma city. he was talking about -- he does all sorts of polling for senate candidates and congressional candidates. they do polling every night. they are the starting to see the cawfn effect. it is really energizing the republican base. and at the same time, is there was an npr poll that came out yesterday, talking about democratic enthusiasm. it is essentially disappeared. in july it was 10 point...

Has done more damage i think in a positive way. it's something we conservatives said for a long time. there is a liberal bias in the press. i think they will be viewed with skepticism that maybe didn't exist in the mind of the mass population before. >> for guys like me, that bias is real. i had arguments about facts like 2 plus 2 equals 4 and the liberal media person, no it's 4.5. you would being a trump scoop that cnn got at least once would be a pro-trump scoop. the problem is all of cnn's scoops that get debunked later, they are always anti-trump stories. that means 1 of 2 things. cnn is f...