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Analysis about efforts being made to achieve that goal successfully. he said clearly that the allies are strong, that nato is think stro. he talked about addition of f finland and sweden and i think it was message in sync with emmanuel macron. he did not say that europe must join in forceful fashion as the united states because it is so important. i think those are some things we'll talk about in the days and hours to come. >> lawrence: uh-huh. >> ainsley: you've done a great job there, martha, i'm sure it is emotional to be there. we talked about the 21 gun salute, 21 is symbolic, it is sum o...

Atlanta, but the counties surrounding atlanta. boy, have they changed over time. let's go to gwinnett county. it has urban areas, but largely s suburban. raphael warnock won that by 25 points. 10 years ago it was d plus 21. for joe biden it was d plus 18. now 2016 let's go back. hillary clinton won, but it was d plus 6. go back to 2012 and mitt romney, the republican won by almost 9 points. you heard what brad raffensperger says. little by little, 2012, 2016,

Election eve, 204. actual republican house seats won, 202. so, this, to me, was a scandal, an october surprise, even though it happened in the end of september, that did seem to have an impact. but let's look at an october surprise that really didn't, right? go back to the last midterm election. remember trump was tweeting all about the caravan, right, coming from central america, the migrant caravan. look at the forecast for the house before the first trump tweet on the caravan. it was 235 for democrats. what was the actual result? 235. the senate, 52. and then you see in fact this is republi...

To you that there would be some sort of outside chance that democrats would hold the house? or is that so anti-historical that it's just a big stretch? >> you know, it's a great question, andrea. i think it is -- i think republicans still have the advantage on whether or not they'll control the house because there are a series of trump districts or districts that trump won that democrats control that i think you'd say republicans are still likely the favorite in those. look, we've seen a pretty big change in some of these trump districts. places that were plus 15 or plus 12 are now down to, yo...

That would have been '98 with bill clinton. he was in the 60s. biden is at a 42% approval rating. 55% disapprove. the last time our poll, the nbc poll was in the field, it's been a while, but back in may, it basically looked exactly the same. start of the summer, end of the summer here, biden's approval rating in our poll basically flat. you mentioned also that question of the generic ballot. in our polling, again, comparing late spring, start of the summer, really hasn't budged that much now. republicans ahead by two. had been a tie in may. this is interesting, when you look at this one histo...