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Reliablely turning out are older white voters in a lot of places, and in a place like florida, they said, look, the people voting early are older, retired people, and that makes that person nervous. >> yeah. our new nbc wall street journal poll shows 7% lead for democrats. slight improvements from two weeks ago with a nine point advantage. playbook writes, "top republicans have been telling us all year that generic needs to be at democrats plus for to democrats plus six for republicans to have a chance of holding on to the house." another poll says health care is an important issue when it com...

The consequences of any of us staying home really are more dangerous, because america's at a cross roads. >> here's what it looks like in florida's critical races. the real clear politics average gives gillum a slight lead to succeed term governor rick scott. that is within the margin of error. rick scott, the outgoing governor and he's trying to end bill nelson's term in the senate. the polls give nelson a similar j extra, a two point advantage, again, with the margin of of error. that was vintage obama, mariana. >> in full force ali. i hope you can hear me. it is incredibly loud here in

Democrats had any shots, one in 5 chance for something like this, any shot of realistically taking the senate or dialing the republican majority down to 50 plus mike pence it is arizona. it is all about arizona. this has been the hottest race since the beginning, closely contested, democrats need a flip. heidi heitkamp is not thinking about in north dakota is not thinking about what she's going to be doing next year, she knows it will not be in the senate. democrats know they are down one to start, arizona is a must win for them and so far it cooked up the way they want it. shannon: let's move...

Advantage over you. he had 16 point advantage on the gender gap there. so, i guess more people are starting to believe his ex-girlfriend which came out and sai she was abused. actually ex-girlfriend's son was the one who came forward. >> that's right. his ex-girlfriend's son came forward and talked about the abuse of his mother that he had witnessed. very troubling. they are starting to see that evidence and there is plenty of evidence that's publicly available for the people of minnesota to conclude that he is unfit to be the state's top law enforcement official. brian: what makes you think h...

What we're seeing now a four point advantage for democrats and just extremely high motivation on both sides. so what that is pointing to, brian, probably, when you add in the generic ballot, democratic gains, they need a net gain of seats. they seem to be in line for gains here. is the margin close enough for republicans to keep the gains somewhere right around that 23 seat number? maybe ideally in the republican world just below it. just saving the house or is that enthusiasm so high the democratic side can get over it? but it looks a little more complicated. especially when you take a look a...