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We're back now with a look at the markets. trading on wall street is down across the board because of concern about in part a growing financial crisis in turkey. take a look at the dow right now, down 84 points. i want to talk about what is driving these markets, though. you're seeing -- you saw it started off in the green a little earlier today and about two hours in we turned negative so there's a whole lot of other stuff going on but about 0.4 of a point lower. let's take a look at what's driving this particular conversation. the united states and turkey are at odds because turkey is one of...

Well, if that higher threshold would have been in place for this week's debate, neither john kasich nor rand paul nor carly fiorina would have made the main stage. even jeb bush -- if jeb bush had been roughly half a point lower in his recent national polling average, under the new cutoff that is reportedly being proposed by the rnc, even jeb bush would have been in danger of getting kicked off the main stage. at a 4% or 5% national polling cutoff, which is reportedly what they are now considering, what the republican party is now pushing for, jeb bush would have been really, really close to b...

Radars. >>shepard: what has the polling trend been? obama is up, right? >>guest: our polling has him up almost 4 1/2 points which you have seen in the polls that have come out. a news poll had him up five points. on the ground, though, i think there is a closer race and observers and analysts are saying that we will see a race more like 2004 between bush and john kerry which was a two-point race and not the four-point race we saw four years ago. >>shepard: the locals are telling us, our reporters who work there, too, are having a hard time figuring out what is driving the undecided. what are t...

First quarter and it jets up big worries for this quarter and the final quarter. >> and big worries for the white house. i disagree, adam saying this is political. it's not. this is the economic policy for this white house, that government knows better and elected officials know better than people who have run private companies and our national debt now as the percentage held by the public is, at the end of the year will be 70%, in '08, it was 40%, and so, where is that moan going? not to create jobs, because we still have an unmroment rate of 8.2%, 1 percentage point lower, 1.1 percentage poi...

Republicans and particularly mitt romney have hammered president obama as a big government president. but do the job numbers bear that out? the president says they don't. he argue the public sector is lagging behind the private sector and said it's the lack of government jobs that's hurting the recovery. >> if state and local government hiring were basically on par to what our current recovery -- on par to past recoveries the unemployment rate would probably be a point lower than it is right now. >> so that's our deep dive today. the public sector job front. let's look at the last 12 months an...