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Lead, little change from the same poll last thursday but a new "washington post" abc news tracking poll out this morning shows donald trump with a 1 point lead nationally. a reverse in the 1 point lead secretary clinton had in the same tracking poll the past two days and a whopping 13 point swing for trump in a week. mark murray would come up with more to explain about this range of numbers and why our polls show a different analysis than "the washington post" poll and the campaign trail, secretary clinton holding three events in the battle ground state of florida where the average of the late...

Time the poll rolls up on sunday, he's not winning by a point anymore, he's losing by 19 points, a 20 point swing. from the start of the poll on thursday, to the end of the poll on sunday. a 20-point swing thanks to that tape that came out on friday, the access hollywood tape. and so, yeah, i mean if you average out the results for that poll, if you look at all four days to get that bottom line number, it produces this normal looking if positive report for hillary clinton, oh, she's plus 7 in wisconsin, that's interesting, you look at not just the snapshot, but the swing, those numbers moving,...

Donald trump is actually winning that state by a point, by the time the poll rolls up on sunday, he's not winning by a point anymore, he's losing by 19 points, a 20 point swing. from the start of the poll on thursday, to the end of the poll on sunday. a 20-point swing thanks to that tape that came out on friday, the access hollywood tape. and so, yeah, i mean if you average out the results for that poll, if you look at all four days to get that bottom line number, it produces this normal looking if positive report for hillary clinton, oh, she's plus 7 in wisconsin, that's interesting, you look...

Numberings. clinton's numbers, read it from the bottom up, clinton's numbers go from 40 on thursday to 44 on friday, the day the tape comes out to 49 on the weekend, after everybody saw the tape. trump's numbers in contrast, read from the bottom up, they start at 41 on thursday, which is the day before the tape comes out, then on friday, when the tape comes out. he drops from 41 to 48, then over the weekend, he falls down from 40 to 30. this is from thursday to sunday, before the tape comes out, donald trump is actually winning that state by a point, by the time the poll rolls up on sunday, he...

Tava smiley. we're going to get to that in a moment. thank you for being on. congratulations on the book. we want to talk about the new polls which shows hillary clinton's lead slipping nationwide. a new cbs news new york times poll shows clinton leading sanders by seven points nationally 48-41. that's a 13 point swing in sander's favor since december. the poll shows that sanders is the most qualified to handle the economy. the poll also shows the iowa democrats view sanders as more hops and trustworthy by a wide margin. noerly 30% say clinton isn't