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Ballot by just about three points here. in the last two weeks, in their polling average, last three weeks it went from even to republicans by about this margin. that's real clear politics. 538 average closer. republicans 0.8 of a point ahead in the generic ballot. let's do our own average here just for the heck of it. let's take every poll that has come out in the last two weeks, what would happen if you average those together? just to see, and it would be republicans by 0.4 of a point. there's a range of possibilities here in terms of the poll average. as i said, in some past midterm election...

Certainly there were questions about those allegations about herschel walker paying for an abortion, and questions about how that was going to affect this race. i am curious, obviously with democrats bringing in barack obama, it is an indication that they take the race very seriously. it is no surprise georgia is a close race, but two weeks after that debate, i am curious how you would characterize democrats in georgia, how they are looking at this senate race? >> it is interesting, because if you are in this arena tonight, we were told there were about 7000 people here. he would be forgiven f...

No surprise georgia is a close race, but two weeks after that debate, i am curious how you would characterize democrats in georgia, how they are looking at this senate race? >> it is interesting, because if you were in this arena tonight, we were told there were about 7000 people here. he would be forgiven for looking at it, hearing the sound, and thinking the momentum in key races here is on the side of democrats. but you look at the polls, and that is not the reality at all. the reason why former president obama's here is because democrats need the help. stacy abrhams is behind in a gubernat...

The race very seriously. it is no surprise georgia is a close race, but two weeks after that debate, i am curious how you would characterize democrats in georgia, how they are looking at this senate race? >> it is interesting, because if you are in this arena tonight, we were told there were about 7000 people here. he would be forgiven for looking at it, hearing the sound, and thinking the momentum in key races here is on the side of democrats. but you look at the polls, and that is not the reality at all. the reason why former president obama's here is because democrats need the help. stacy a...

Democrats, if it's not pennsylvania, is there a another republican seat on this board that they can pick off. take a look, second closest, it's ohio. republican seat j.d. vance is leading, but that's close, it's two points on average. here is the skepticism, i think, the republicans and many democrats have when it comes to ohio. we talked so much about pulling misses in recent elections. the polling misses have really been centered in the midwest, particularly ohio. here is the final poll average in ohio, in 16 1920. remember, democrats winning the election day here, both think they could real...