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Blocked by the Bloc: how Quebec voters could decide the timing of the next election Éric Grenier © Sean Kilpatrick / Canadian Press The Bloc Québécois under leader Yves-François Blanchet is trailing the Liberals in the polls in Quebec — but could still win about as many seats as it currently holds in the House of Commons if an election were held today. If there's a formula the Liberals are following to figure out when to call the next election, the state of the COVID-19 pandemic, the availability of vaccines and the party's standing in the polls likely would be the m...

Unlike past Conservative leaders, Erin O'Toole has enjoyed no bump in the polls After their first 200 days in the job, past Conservative leaders saw their party's support in the polls increase. Under Erin O'Toole, the Conservatives have just as much support today as they did when he took over. Social Sharing

Posted: Mar 03, 2021 4:00 AM ET | Last Updated: March 3 NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh has seen his party's national support rise from about 14 per cent in the spring of 2020 to 19 per cent today, according to an aggregation of polling data.(David Kawai / Canadian Press)

What's a safe lead in the polls? History suggests Trudeau's lead isn't enough The Liberals lead in the polls, but not by a wide enough margin that they can be reasonably confident of winning an election if they call one early. Social Sharing The Liberals need to be further ahead in the polls to be confident of winning an early election Posted: Feb 04, 2021 4:00 AM ET | Last Updated: February 4 Justin Trudeau's Liberals hold a 5.5-percentage point lead over the Conservatives in national polling.(Sean Kilpatrick / Canadian Press)

| UPDATED: 18:59, Tue, Jan 12, 2021 Link copied Sign up for FREE now and never miss the top politics stories again SUBSCRIBE Invalid email When you subscribe we will use the information you provide to send you these newsletters. Sometimes they'll include recommendations for other related newsletters or services we offer. Our Privacy Notice explains more about how we use your data, and your rights. You can unsubscribe at any time. Reform UK leader Mr Farage confirmed his party's presence in Scotland will be spearheaded by ex-Tory MSP Michelle Ballantyne, with the one-time Scottish Tory lea...