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Focus on some of the key races that will decide control of congress. so, tonight it's battleground ohio. cnn senior data reporter, harry enten is at the magic wall for us. harry, what is the latest on the ohio senate race? >> hey alison, let's take a look at the situation in ohio in this tight senate race. right now, what we have is republican j.d. vance with a slight advantage over tim ryan 47% to 45%, but that's well within the margin of error. that being said, i'm a little bit skeptical that this race will end up this close as this. why? two reasons. first off, let's look at past polling er...

Are we seeing a repeat now of past polling error? here with me to help understand the polling, landscape cornell belcher, a pollster and democratic strategist. for now, there's this piece out today that got a lot of attention. they said, look, certain places wisconsin, for one example, we have seen repeated systematic polling errors in which the polls, the public polls have failed to adequately capture republican strength. they've missed by six or seven points. we've seen the same, to a lesser extent, in pennsylvania, michigan, and making the case that a lot of the warning signs there that the...

And they stole your freedom. worse yet, governor kemp could have prevented this, but he failed you. please join me in supporting senator david purdue for governor. >> i mean, they are all in on the election fraud lie. which arguably, may have lost republicans the two senate seats in the special election last year. what is it looking like in terms of this play book this time around? >> it's not working for david purdue. i mean, you were covering that a little bit earlier on. look, this is a fox news poll from last week. look at this match between kemp and purdue. brian kemp, look at that. a 32 ...

That's a possibility given the past polling errors that we've seen with this 95% confidence in a poll. >> even at 8 points anyone could really win at that point. >> yes. >> the trump endorsement, j.d. vance really, really wanted this, this is a guy who actually said not so nice things about trump in 2016, tried to reverse it all for now. what has the endorsement done? >> it's done a lot. i will point out that josh mandel had really, really, really wanted that trump endorsement, was arguing a long time ago that trump had won the election when that is not true joe biden won the election. this is...

Ma mandel 18%, mike gibb gallons 13 public school, matt dolan 11%, jane timken 6%. this undecided column, look at that, 25%. that actually leads the field at this point so we're not exactly sure what exactly will happen tomorrow. >> what does history tell us? >> this is, again, something i just want to note in terms of when we see this polling data, look, it's instructive as to who is probably ahead here, but this is primary polling errors in the final poll, the margin between the top two candidates which was five points, it was five points in that fox news poll. the average error since 2000 p...