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American officials wants the russians to know about otherwise it wouldn't be leaked and somebody would deny it. so far the only person to deny it is the president. which makes you wonder, one, whether he even knows about it, or, two, what benefit he feels he's going to get with putin by pretending that it's not true. >> yeah. that is bewildering, isn't it? of course new poll numbers, this time from fox, the president's favorite. they don't look good, though, for president trump. showing him behind the top five democratic presidential candidates. how significant is that and can much be read int...

The story lines we're following tomorrow? >> i think polling has gotten a bad rap. it's generally been pretty accurate. frankly the last polls of the 2016 presidential election had hillary clinton up by three points. she won the popular vote by two points. the national polls were pretty accurate. there was a late break to trump at the end of the 2016 campaign. it's not that the polls were wrong it's that the voters were feeling differently. there were significant state polling errors especially in wisconsin. pollsters have learned some lesson about how they weight the polls. often when you con...

Tuesday night. no one else really does. and we are in pretty genuinely uncharted territory, who will be this electorate on tuesday night. >> we're looking at drk -- take the house for example, it's going to be 20 and 50, between, democratic net gains. it's probably going to be between 30 and 40, you know 35. so it would get democrats a gavel. it gets them able to schedule a floor. but not -- you know, anything under 46 is not enough -- it's not as many seats as republicans have today. and they've had a hard time getting anything done. >> to push back on that, a polling error in the direction, ...

A big difference in a bunch of seats. >> i've got to say, i have no idea what's going to happen tuesday night. no one else really does. and we are in pretty genuinely uncharted territory, who will be this electorate on tuesday night. >> we're looking at drk -- take the house for example, it's going to be 20 and 50, between, democratic net gains. it's probably going to be between 30 and 40, you know 35. so it would get democrats a gavel. it gets them able to schedule a floor. but not -- you know, anything under 46 is not enough -- it's not as many seats as republicans have today. and they've ha...

Points, which is less than they were actually in 2012. in the states you see bigger polling errors in the midwest. you see clinton beat her polls in new york, in california and in oregon and washington. >> now that's interesting. i've been focusing on how state polls underestimated trump support by 7, 8%. that's way beyond the marginal of error. >> that means you rack up a huge number of popular votes and almost match obama's match popular vote so it's not simply a matter of the polls underestimating trump, not catching up to the demographic changes that are underway in the country. >> is ther...