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Radars. >>shepard: what has the polling trend been? obama is up, right? >>guest: our polling has him up almost 4 1/2 points which you have seen in the polls that have come out. a news poll had him up five points. on the ground, though, i think there is a closer race and observers and analysts are saying that we will see a race more like 2004 between bush and john kerry which was a two-point race and not the four-point race we saw four years ago. >>shepard: the locals are telling us, our reporters who work there, too, are having a hard time figuring out what is driving the undecided. what are t...

Is looking at the different routes to victory with the two main swing states in one column or the other, that being ohio and florida and how the other swing states may be able to -- there may be a path without one of their swing states for mitt romney. ohio, the depression over ohio in the romney camp is real and they're closely watching it and they have reason to be very concerned about it. >> ken, i think the story here is broader at least to me than just a polling bump for obama out of the convention. i think there's a bigger story here that really obama has been winning this race basically...

For dinner, i went, and we talked about you. and i think you ought to invite him on your show. george would be more than happy -- [laughter] megyn: oh, really? i don't know if i want to know what was said. but he's welcome anytime. we're going to e-mail him now. thanks, dick, thanks, brad. >> anytime. megyn: dick said his wife was like, we're going to this one. you drag me to all these other events. well, fox news has extensive analysis on this ad. it's all over at foxnews.com/politics, and it's also in today's power play by chris stirewalt which is always very worth reading, worth your time. ...

He missed the primary tow he is running on the american constitution party ticket. so far it does not seem to be going well. we see the gray downward slope there? yeah. that's what you call a bad polling trend. it is about to turn around for him because he has puck a new political fight to define his candacy. he has found a new enemy. in an interview with talking points memo, he said this mr. tancredo said this, i remember a little thing like ms. obama saying she didn't want any christian artifacts in the white house during christmastime. was that before or after the official white house chris...

Talk about although his name is very fun mr. mays gets to be a candidate because he won the republican primary. he beat out a man publicly accused of plagiarism. mr. tancredo gets to run for governor because he wants to run. he missed the deadline to run in the primary so he is running on the american constitution ticket. so far it is not going well. see that gray, downward slope. yeah. that is what you call a bad polling trend. it is all about the turn around for tom tancredo. he picked a new political fight, he found a new political enemy. mr. tancredo said this, i remember a little thing li...