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Detailed text transcripts for TV channel - MSNBC - 20161108:10:38:00

Kind of liberal. when you get to the center part of the state, interstate 4, the i-4 which connects tampa to orlando to daytona beach that ribbon there is pretty much a mix. so this state that has 29 electoral votes really comes down to how this center part of the state along the i-4 corridor votes. they ve got the machines set up. they re going to open here in about an hour and a half. we expect there will not be lines across the state because imagine this, 49% of voters in florida have already early voted. the county that i m in in tampa, this is hillsborough county, has picked 19 of the last 20 presidents. so this county, which again is split, is expected to be the predictor for the whole state. so all eyes on this county. one of the questions a lot of people have because they think back to the year 2000 and the problems in this state because of the punch cards which are long gone is, will this election be safe? we ve heard discussion about ....

State Of Ohio , I 4 Corridor , Daytona Beach , Central Florida , Hillsborough County , One Of Us , Punch Cards ,

Detailed text transcripts for TV channel - MSNBC - 20161108:10:36:00

Midnight voting were split. total tally of all three towns, trump 32, clinton 25, gary johnson 4, bernie sanders 3, romney tied with john kasich, both at 1 apiece. joining us from new hampshire, nbc correspondent tammy leitner. a very good early morning to you. i don t know about it being a predictor. dicesville notch has been split since 1960. right, good morning. the polls don t open for 30 minutes but we ve already got about a dozen people that have showed up here to vote. new hampshire voters notoriously decide late in the game who they re going to vote for and there is no early voting in the state which is why both candidates have been making a huge push here in new hampshire. trump was here, thousands showed up to hear him speak. president obama was here yesterday campaigning for hillary clinton. she was here on her own on sunday. now there are only four electoral votes in this state. but neither candidate can afford ....

New Hampshire , John Kasich , Clinton 25 , Gary Johnson , Mitt Romney , Bernie Sanders , Nbc News , Tammy Leitner , Dicesville Notch , State Of Ohio , Hillary Clinton , Donald Trump , President Obama ,

Detailed text transcripts for TV channel - MSNBC - 20161107:11:23:00

Does this because people are saying, well, michigan is could be like brexit. not really. i mean, the brexit polls were pretty tight at the end. the brexit polls had been fairly tight all the way along. but actually did show leave ahead in the last few days. but nobody believed it. there were a couple other factors people looked at instead, and for some reason, sterling rallied and the markets rallied. we have been watching the markets, too. every time there s good news for clinton, the markets rise. every time there s bad news for clinton, the markets fall. people seem to think that s a good predictor. we looked at sterling, markets, and the betting markets, and the betting markets, the betting odds had leave losing. and the remain camp winning. but actually, what turned out had happened is lots of people in london had been betting, and because london was a remain hub, that skewed the betting market. there were lots of other factors that came to play that people looked at and ....

Brexit Situation , The End , Show Leave , Bad News , Didn T ,

Detailed text transcripts for TV channel - CNN - 20161107:21:55:00

For barack obama, not necessarily the partisan voter, but the voter who was going to vote for barack obama. if you build a party model, you re building a model to brngk out republicans, people disposed to vote republican but not necessarily the model of the republican who is going to vote for donald trump. so there are all kinds of complications here because of this kind of shotgun wedding of donald trump and regular republicans. let me ask you quick because we haven t talk abouted the north carolina race between richard burr and the democrat ross. how is that looking? well, i think they don t feel great about it in north carolina. burr is has a bit of an establishment reputation. i know plenty of republicans in north carolina are not super enthused about him. also not super enthused about trump and it s going to be a really, really tight race. so i m not sure how that one is going to fall honestly. to the point about the rnc have the data and the predictor models for this stuff. ....

President Obama , Party Model , Donald Trump , Shotgun Wedding , Havent Talk Abouted , North Carolina , Establishment Reputation , Burr Is , Richard Burr , Democrat Ross , Republican National Committee , Trump Campaign Doesn T ,

Detailed text transcripts for TV channel - MSNBC - 20161104:11:03:00

Nate silver gives her a 65% chance. that s the same about markets. it s 2-1. does that sound right to you? i happen last night to have been with the leading economists who studies this kind of stuff. if i say prediction markets, you re going to say brexit. i ll also go marco rubio but go ahead. there s an enormous amount of data out there that points the same way. marco rubio is going to win the nomination? he might be president. i ll give you one example. we talk about the polls. one of the questions that s in the polls that was in the new york times poll yesterday is not just who are you going to vote for for president but who will be president? that s historically been a better predictor than the question of who are you going to vote for. the new york times poll it was 57-33. people thinking that hillary clinton was going to be president. down a little bit from the previous poll. it s about two to one. so i think really no matter how you triangulate it and i agree ....

Nate Silver , Prediction Markets , Joe Biden , Marco Rubio , The New York Times , Hillary Clinton , Poll It ,