Experts are warning that the probability of a US recession is still well under 50%
Outlook: It’s a juicy calendar this week. Probably the important number will be retail sales, expected up 1% in April after a revised 0.7% in March, l
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Outlook: It’s a juicy calendar this week. Probably the important number will be retail sales, expected up 1% in April after a revised 0.7% in March, l
12/18/2020 1:56:08 PM GMT Outlook: Yesterday's data casts a pall over everything that equities are bravely pretending not to notice. Initial unemployment claims were 885,000 in the most recent week, up from 962,000 the week before and contrary to the forecast of a drop to 800,000. It's the highest number of claims since early September. TradingEconomics notes "about 455 thousand people applied for help from the Pandemic Unemployment Assistance scheme, which covers workers that do not qualify for initial claims, compared with 415 thousand in the previous period." You don't have to be a bleedin...