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Central Bank Watch: BOC, RBA, & RBNZ Interest Rate Expectations Update Advertisement Central Bank Watch Overview: The commodity currencies have stumbled out of the gates in 2021. The Canadian Dollar in particular has proven weak as the country’s vaccination rates have slowed. Still, none of the central banks tied to the commodity currencies (AUD, CAD, NZD) have seen either rate cut or hike odds move meaningfully. Central Banks Kick into Gear Now into the second month of the year, central bank activity is heating up again. Earlier on Thursday, the Bank of England’s “S...

Central Bank Watch: BOC & ECB Interest Rate Expectations Update Advertisement Central Bank Watch Overview: Both the Bank of Canada and European Central Bank met in recent days, setting the tone for 2021: more easing is possible, but might not be needed. While the BOC outright complained about Canadian Dollar strength, there’s also the consideration that they can’t do much to stop further appreciation. On the other hand, the ECB avoided specific reference to the Euro itself. Central Banks Coming into Focus In this edition of Central Bank Watch, we’ll cover two the fir...

Central Bank Watch: BOC, RBA, & RBNZ Interest Rate Expectations Update Advertisement Central Bank Watch Overview: It’s been a slow first week of the year for the major central banks, and activity is unlikely to get more exciting in the next few days. But rates markets remain active, and each of the central banks tied to the commodity currencies (AUD, CAD, NZD) have seen rate cut odds dissipate for 2021. Retail trader positioning indicates that suggests that the commodity currencies are susceptible to a pullback versus the US Dollar. Central Banks Yet to Heat Up The first...

Central Bank Watch: BOC, RBA, & RBNZ Interest Rate Expectations Update Advertisement Central Bank Watch Overview: Budding optimism over a global growth rebound post-pandemic is helping fuel demand for global growth-linked assets and currencies, like the Australian, Canadian, and New Zealand Dollars. Each of the commodity currency central banks – the Bank of Canada, Reserve Bank of Australia, and Reserve Bank of New Zealand – have seen rate cut expectations evaporate. Retail trader positioning suggests that the commodity currencies are on mostly bullish footing (bullish AUD, NZD; neutral C...

Of it, and the yields on two-year paper actually rallied as well as the underlying bonds fell a little bit on those rate expectations. >> so steve, speaking of employment, what role will friday's jobs report play i the fed's decision, do you think? >> amy, would you believe i've been looking at payroll for 27 years, and every single month it's been theey data lutely 184,000 jobs created is what is expected. if it matches what we saw yesterday from the adp, then that will give more confirmation that the market is pret tu rty t with a 5.1% unemployment rate. there are concerns about the particip...