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To begin with, it is sensible to see growth in conjunction with inflation data, especially inflation that has been shorn of volatile components, such as food and fuel. This adjusted, or core, inflation has been dropping steadily over H2 2023-24, down to 3.3% in February, suggesting that even with such high growth rates, the economy has not overheated . ....

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Paytm: Paytm Fallout: RBI's new KYC drill impacting ARC deals

Earlier, asset reconstruction companies (ARCs) would ask creditors selling bad loans for central KYC records, but now the RBI is insisting on full KYC. "When purchasing portfolios from banks/NBFCs, RBI requires ARCs to maintain KYC documents for all accounts. This seems to be a fallout of the Paytm incident," said an ARC executive. ....

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Morgan Stanley Forecasts Central Banks To Lower Rates By June-July, Aiming for Pre-Covid Levels

Morgan Stanley has recently revised India’s FY25 GDP growth forecast to 6.8% from 6.5%, citing robust domestic demand, reflected in a 10-year high in bank loan growth. With inflation on a downward trend, real rates in the region are on the rise. However, delays in US Fed rate cuts or supply-related concerns pushing oil prices to USD 110-120 per barrel could pose risks if rate cuts are postponed until the first quarter of 2025 or later, according to Morgan Stanley
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