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Cnn grossly underestimated the percentage of independents that are going to be here, the average puts this into perspective. these polls give us a tense of precision which they do not have. >> and reading polls, real clear average. this race is too close to call. how does romney strategicly close the deal in your opinion? >> i think by doing two things. at the convention he dialed up the explanation of who he was. mitt romney and ann romney both did that. and now, mitt romney and paul ryan keeping some of the personal information coming putting focus on the plan to help. more american energy, ...

And it's the same line up so i think he has the same hurdles, as a very moderate for a republican this time around. to be honest with you, i think the story getting lost is going back to the polling numbers that you showed on the president. you know, he's doing well among personality and doing poor among performance. and so what that means is trouble. he could do well and go on and be on dancing with the stars and come in second like kirstie alley but as you get closer to the election, people are going to look at performance and i've been reading polls for 25 years. i think all of these candid...

memorial day. on this national holiday, a heavy rush of politics. sarah palin's mystery tour rolled into town. we don't know when she will appear because her aides will not tell us. her stops included ft. mchenry and she's being cagey on the subject of whether it's a rolling civic lesson or a 2012 campaign. >> i believe there are many more people out there to add. competition breeds success. i would hope that there is going to be debate. >> also this day, president obama leads the traditional wreath laying at arlington national cemetery and announces a major change in his national se...

The deficit commission? why has he been talking more about money he's going to spend rather than cuts he's going to propose in is budget. it tell me he's reading polls and see swing voters care about one thing. republicans are in a bit of a box. base expects one thing, swing voters in the middle, which is who is going to decide the presidential election expect another thing. as our republican pollster put it, you sometimes wonder why does somebody jump off a cliff, you find out they're being chased by a tiger. the tiger in tthis case could be tea party. new developments out of leb. venezuela...

Not surprising. since everybody is beating up on teachers unions from chris christie to barack obama. >> let's look at the budget fight in washington. our poll finds that the public is much more concerned that republicans and tea partyists may go too far. that doesn't surprise me a bit obviously republicans are more conservative, bigger cutters. that's pretty common sense right there. isn't it? >> it is. the bigger problems for republicans in this poll is their base says the number one or two issue in this country, core republicans say the top issue in this country is spending and the deficit....